As I've noted before in several posts, I do not believe the US will make a substantial attack against Iran during the remainder of the Bush Presidency. I've also noted that if I'm wrong, now would be the best time to stage such an attack. Tonight is a new moon and the US prefers to kick things off in the dark, in order to maximize their technological superiority. However, a near total silence has descended upon the issue. Usual sources are not providing updates on the location of US carriers. Cheerleaders like Debka News are all focused on Georgia. Apparently, the Middle-East "realists" see Georgia as the opening battle of WW3. With Saakashvili playing Prince Ferdinand, The South Ossetians playing Serbia, and Russia playing, well Russia. I'm not buying this one either. There's no reason the Georgian situation shouldn't settle down to the back-burner issue it deserves to be.
Back in the Gulf, last month's WW3 incubator, the silence is a bit unnerving, at least to me. Under normal conditions, an all-out attack by the US against Iran would require some causus belli, like the Persian Gulf of Tonkin incident I predicted for a few days ago. A complete absence of political/propaganda buildup is untypical of US practice. Unless its somehow linked to the Really Bad Thing, I'd have to say that notwithstanding the force build-up, no news is good news. Meaning if they were going to attack, Bush and his associates would be cackling like flock chickens on amyls (to quote Hunter S. Thompson out of context). They are going wonky alright, but over Georgia, not Iran.
